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Virginia Cavaliers

(9-9)

Conference:: Atlantic Coast
Region:: South
State:: VA
Coach:: Julie Myers

Third-Ranked UNC Defeats No. 12 UVa to Move to Semifinals

CHAPEL HILL – Third-seeded North Carolina scored three times in the first minute of the game, pouncing on unseeded Virginia and winning, 13-9, in the NCAA Tournament quarterfinals on Saturday afternoon at Fetzer Field. With the victory, Carolina (16-3) advances to the NCAA semifinals for the fourth time in the last five seasons. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/19	A	Loyola	8 –	15	-7	-3	–	0.94	-3.68
02/23	A	Richmond	23 –	13	10	3	+++	0.94	6.94
02/27	A	Syracuse	21 –	11	10	-1	+++	0.94	11.53
03/04	H	Maryland	6 –	18	-12	-5	––	-0.94	-4.13
03/06	H	Penn State	10 –	5	5	1	+	-0.94	3.77
03/12	A	North Carolina	7 –	8	-1	-5	++	0.94	4.17
03/16	H	William & Mary	14 –	13	1	2		-0.94	-1.24
03/19	H	Princeton	10 –	9	1	0		-0.94	0.65
03/26	H	Duke	8 –	11	-3	-2		-0.94	-0.59
03/30	A	Old Dominion	9 –	5	4	6	–	0.94	-2.95
04/02	A	Boston College	6 –	12	-6	-1	––	0.94	-4.28
04/03	A	Harvard	19 –	18	1	0		0.94	1.61
04/06	H	Virginia Tech	12 –	10	2	4	–	-0.94	-2.83
04/13	A	George Mason	14 –	7	7	6		0.94	0.48
04/21	N	North Carolina	5 –	16	-11	-4	––	0.00	-5.76
04/27	A	James Madison	14 –	16	-2	0		0.94	-1.72
04/30	H	Northwestern	4 –	8	-4	-4		-0.94	0.86
05/14	A	North Carolina	7 –	15	-8	-5	–	0.94	-2.83
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 31.87
TSI Rank: 10
Poll Vote: 130
Poll Rank: 14
Power Rating: 93.10
Power Rank: 16
SOS Rating: 93.49
SOS Rank: 2
RPI Rating: 0.60
RPI Rank: 16
Trend Rating: 4.00
Trend Rank: 81
Quality Win Rating: 1.13
Quality Win Rank: 12
W-L Pct Rating: 50.00
W-L Pct Rank: 48

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 9- 9
Ave Goal diff (all ): -0.7
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 6
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -6.5
Wins/Losses(top 10): 1- 7
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -5.6
Wins/Losses(top 20): 4- 9
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -2.8
Wins/Losses(last 3): 0- 3
Ave Goal diff (last 3): -4.7