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Nazareth Golden Flyers

(8-9)

Conference:: Empire 8
Region:: North
State:: NY
Coach:: Rob Randall

Golden Flyers Grounded by Western New England in NCAAs

ROCHESTER, N.Y. -- Western New England used a seven-goal scoring spree that bridged the second and third quarters Saturday to surge past ninth-ranked Nazareth, 15-12, in a second-round NCAA Division III Tournament game at Golden Flyer Stadium. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/25	H	Springfield	7 –	15	-8	-1	–––	-0.96	-6.82
03/03	N	Geneseo	8 –	3	5	0	++	0.00	5.72
03/07	A	Scranton	9 –	5	4	1	+	0.96	2.16
03/14	N	Bowdoin	7 –	14	-7	-1	––	0.00	-5.23
03/17	H	Western New England	11 –	12	-1	0		-0.96	-0.12
03/21	H	Clarkson	10 –	9	1	0		-0.96	1.24
03/24	A	Amherst	8 –	13	-5	-2	–	0.96	-2.89
03/28	A	Utica	19 –	7	12	3	+++	0.96	6.04
04/04	H	RIT	11 –	12	-1	-3	+	-0.96	2.36
04/07	A	Ithaca	5 –	11	-6	-1	––	0.96	-4.49
04/11	H	Alfred	11 –	6	5	8	–	-0.96	-3.42
04/14	H	Hartwick	17 –	5	12	7	+	-0.96	2.70
04/17	A	Cortland	2 –	9	-7	-7		0.96	0.00
04/21	A	Stevens	12 –	14	-2	-4	+	0.96	2.74
04/25	H	St. John Fisher	9 –	8	1	0		-0.96	0.53
04/28	A	Elmira	21 –	10	11	8		0.96	1.98
05/02	A	Ithaca	11 –	15	-4	-1	–	0.96	-2.49
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 107.80
TSI Rank: 34
Poll Vote: 0
Poll Rank: 124
Power Rating: 84.74
Power Rank: 39
SOS Rating: 84.39
SOS Rank: 25
RPI Rating: 0.57
RPI Rank: 39
Trend Rating: 3.00
Trend Rank: 104
Quality Win Rating: 0.00
Quality Win Rank: 129
W-L Pct Rating: 47.06
W-L Pct Rank: 96

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 8- 9
Ave Goal diff (all ): 0.6
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -7.0
Wins/Losses(top 10): 0- 3
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -3.3
Wins/Losses(top 20): 0- 6
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -4.3
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 2.7