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St. Mary's Seahawks

(10-6)

Conference:: Capital
Region:: South
State:: MD
Coach:: Chris Hasbrouck

No. 13 Lynchburg Edges No. 19 Seahawks in First Round

Lynchburg, Va. – No. 19 St. Mary's put up a valiant fight in their first-ever appearance in the NCAA Division III tournament but could not hold on for the win Wednesday night. No. 13 Lynchburg powered through for the 6-5 first round victory with four unanswered goals in the final period. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/19	A	Roanoke	6 –	12	-6	-4		0.96	-1.96
02/25	N	Dickinson	12 –	9	3	-3	+++	0.00	6.84
03/03	A	Franklin & Marshall	5 –	11	-6	-1	––	0.96	-4.47
03/10	H	Muhlenberg	13 –	11	2	5	–	-0.96	-3.00
03/14	N	Denison	6 –	7	-1	-3	+	0.00	2.02
03/17	A	Frostburg State	14 –	4	10	8		0.96	1.57
03/19	H	Oneonta	12 –	6	6	5		-0.96	0.99
03/21	H	Marymount	14 –	3	11	8		-0.96	1.69
03/24	H	Hood	12 –	7	5	9	––	-0.96	-4.41
03/31	H	Mary Washington	8 –	6	2	2		-0.96	-0.54
04/04	A	Stevenson	5 –	14	-9	-5	–	0.96	-3.78
04/07	A	York	10 –	9	1	0		0.96	1.02
04/14	H	Wesley	18 –	3	15	9		-0.96	0.10
04/18	A	Salisbury	4 –	16	-12	-10		0.96	0.00
04/22	H	Marymount	14 –	5	9	8		-0.96	0.69
04/25	A	Stevenson	8 –	10	-2	-5	+	0.96	3.22
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 92.73
TSI Rank: 27
Poll Vote: 0
Poll Rank: 159
Power Rating: 85.66
Power Rank: 23
SOS Rating: 84.17
SOS Rank: 26
RPI Rating: 0.57
RPI Rank: 41
Trend Rating: 2.00
Trend Rank: 78
Quality Win Rating: 0.47
Quality Win Rank: 20
W-L Pct Rating: 62.50
W-L Pct Rank: 51

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 10- 6
Ave Goal diff (all ): 1.8
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 3
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -7.7
Wins/Losses(top 10): 0- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -6.0
Wins/Losses(top 20): 1- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -4.5
Wins/Losses(last 3): 1- 2
Ave Goal diff (last 3): -1.7