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Amherst Lady Jeffs

(13-5)

Conference:: NESCAC
Region:: New England
State:: MA
Coach:: Christine Paradis

Colby Beats Amherst in NESCAC Quarterfinals

WATERVILLE, Maine -- Michelle Burt (Woodbridge, Conn.) made 12 saves and Lindsey McKenna (Fairfield, Conn.) scored at least 40 goals for the third time in three years to lead fourth-seeded Colby to an 11-3 win over fifth-seeded Amherst in a NESCAC quarterfinal game Saturday at Bill Alfond Field. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
03/10	A	Colby	6 –	7	-1	0		0.69	-0.37
03/11	A	Bates	11 –	9	2	2		0.69	-0.95
03/17	H	Bowdoin	8 –	5	3	2		-0.69	0.76
03/20	N	Buffalo State	16 –	9	7	4	+	0.00	2.03
03/22	N	William Smith	12 –	7	5	7	–	0.00	-2.69
03/28	A	Springfield	14 –	10	4	6	–	0.69	-2.63
03/31	A	Hamilton	6 –	8	-2	1	–	0.69	-3.35
04/04	H	Wesleyan (CT)	14 –	4	10	8		-0.69	1.64
04/07	H	Middlebury	5 –	8	-3	0	–	-0.69	-2.19
04/10	H	Connecticut College	12 –	5	7	7		-0.69	0.00
04/14	H	Tufts	12 –	4	8	2	++	-0.69	5.71
04/17	A	Skidmore	20 –	5	15	9		0.69	0.65
04/21	A	Williams	7 –	6	1	3	–	0.69	-2.32
04/25	A	Trinity (CT)	7 –	6	1	-2	+	0.69	3.56
04/28	H	Bowdoin	9 –	7	2	2		-0.69	-0.24
05/05	N	Middlebury	6 –	7	-1	-1		0.00	0.50
05/09	H	Keene State	19 –	1	18	11		-0.69	0.00
05/12	N	College of New Jersey	7 –	8	-1	0		0.00	-0.08
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 8.91
TSI Rank: 5
Poll Vote: 257
Poll Rank: 8
Power Rating: 85.27
Power Rank: 7
SOS Rating: 81.72
SOS Rank: 4
RPI Rating: 0.65
RPI Rank: 10
Trend Rating: 2.00
Trend Rank: 37
Quality Win Rating: 2.09
Quality Win Rank: 6
W-L Pct Rating: 72.22
W-L Pct Rank: 37

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 13- 5
Ave Goal diff (all ): 4.2
Wins/Losses(top 5): 1- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -1.0
Wins/Losses(top 10): 1- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -1.0
Wins/Losses(top 20): 5- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 20): 1.3
Wins/Losses(last 3): 1- 2
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 5.3