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Elizabethtown Blue Jays

(13-6)

Conference:: Commonwealth
Region:: Metro
State:: PA
Coach:: Mike Faith

Diplomats Ground the Blue Jays in NCAA First Round

LANCASTER, Pa. – Kimberly Abruzzo scored three goals and handed out an assist to lead No. 6 Franklin & Marshall to a 17-7 victory over Elizabethtown in the first round of the NCAA Championship. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/21	A	Dickinson	11 –	13	-2	2	––	0.69	-4.81
02/25	H	McDaniel	18 –	8	10	5	++	-0.69	4.80
03/03	H	Gettysburg	9 –	22	-13	-5	––	-0.69	-4.83
03/08	N	Swarthmore	14 –	12	2	3		0.00	-1.53
03/14	A	Haverford	15 –	6	9	4	++	0.69	4.99
03/17	A	Salisbury	0 –	15	-15	-9		0.69	-0.65
03/21	H	Washington College	14 –	7	7	3	+	-0.69	3.61
03/24	A	Rowan	13 –	9	4	2		0.69	1.22
03/31	A	Eastern	15 –	7	8	10	–	0.69	-2.00
04/05	H	Lycoming	18 –	2	16	17		-0.69	0.00
04/10	A	Messiah	10 –	13	-3	-2		0.69	-0.68
04/14	A	Albright	18 –	5	13	23		0.69	0.00
04/18	H	Alvernia	17 –	6	11	7	+	-0.69	2.23
04/21	A	Catholic (DC)	6 –	15	-9	-3	––	0.69	-5.41
04/24	A	Lebanon Valley	22 –	15	7	8		0.69	-1.16
04/28	H	Widener	15 –	4	11	11		-0.69	0.00
05/02	H	Lebanon Valley	19 –	6	13	9		-0.69	0.46
05/05	A	Messiah	12 –	7	5	-2	+++	0.69	7.32
05/09	A	College of New Jersey	5 –	14	-9	-5	–	0.69	-3.36
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 71.68
TSI Rank: 19
Poll Vote: 70
Poll Rank: 17
Power Rating: 81.24
Power Rank: 21
SOS Rating: 76.81
SOS Rank: 29
RPI Rating: 0.62
RPI Rank: 24
Trend Rating: 1.00
Trend Rank: 17
Quality Win Rating: 0.52
Quality Win Rank: 16
W-L Pct Rating: 68.42
W-L Pct Rank: 48

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 13- 6
Ave Goal diff (all ): 3.4
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -14.0
Wins/Losses(top 10): 1- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -7.0
Wins/Losses(top 20): 1- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -7.3
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 3.0