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Fredonia Blue Devils

(14-5)

Conference:: SUNYAC
Region:: New York
State:: NY
Coach:: Chris Case

Geneseo Knocks off #16 Fredonia in SUNYAC Semifinals

Cortland, N.Y. – Geneseo (12-4) knocked off #16 Fredonia in the semifinal round of the SUNYAC tournament Friday. The third-seeded Knights will face the tournament's top seed, fourth-ranked Cortland, Saturday at 3:30 p.m. in the final with the league's automatic bid to the NCAA playoffs at stake. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
03/01	H	Allegheny	17 –	6	11	9		-0.69	0.39
03/03	A	Messiah	8 –	17	-9	-4	––	0.69	-4.72
03/09	N	Bridgewater State	15 –	8	7	11	–	0.00	-3.00
03/13	N	Claremont-Mudd-Scripps	12 –	8	4	6	–	0.00	-2.34
03/14	N	Skidmore	11 –	15	-4	4	–––	0.00	-8.06
03/17	H	RIT	17 –	10	7	3	+	-0.69	3.38
03/24	A	Adrian	15 –	14	1	2		0.69	-1.13
03/25	A	Wooster	14 –	10	4	5		0.69	-1.03
03/31	A	New Paltz	21 –	12	9	7		0.69	1.62
04/03	A	Geneseo	15 –	14	1	-1	+	0.69	2.81
04/07	H	Oneonta	13 –	11	2	0	+	-0.69	2.47
04/10	A	Buffalo State	15 –	11	4	-1	++	0.69	5.70
04/14	A	Potsdam	19 –	10	9	7		0.69	1.04
04/17	H	Brockport	11 –	10	1	-1	+	-0.69	2.54
04/21	H	Cortland	7 –	8	-1	-7	+++	-0.69	6.19
04/25	H	Elmira	16 –	5	11	9		-0.69	0.39
04/28	H	Oswego	20 –	13	7	9	–	-0.69	-2.54
05/04	N	Buffalo State	13 –	16	-3	-1		0.00	-1.99
05/09	H	St. John Fisher	8 –	9	-1	0		-0.69	-0.27
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 86.10
TSI Rank: 23
Poll Vote: 0
Poll Rank: 77
Power Rating: 79.29
Power Rank: 31
SOS Rating: 76.27
SOS Rank: 36
RPI Rating: 0.63
RPI Rank: 15
Trend Rating: 3.00
Trend Rank: 103
Quality Win Rating: 0.10
Quality Win Rank: 29
W-L Pct Rating: 73.68
W-L Pct Rank: 33

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 14- 5
Ave Goal diff (all ): 3.2
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -1.0
Wins/Losses(top 10): 0- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -5.0
Wins/Losses(top 20): 1- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -2.0
Wins/Losses(last 3): 1- 2
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 1.0