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Salisbury Sea Gulls

(22-1)

Conference:: Capital
Region:: So. Atlantic
State:: MD
Coach:: Jim Nestor

No. 2 Salisbury Nips No. 3 Middlebury to Advance to Title Game

OWINGS MILLS, Md. – No. 2 Salisbury overcame its first second-half deficit of the season, scoring with just over eight minutes to play, breaking a 7-7 tie, to collect an 8-7 victory over No. 3 Middlebury College in the NCAA Division III semifinals. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/25	H	Roanoke	19 –	2	17	16		-0.69	0.00
03/03	H	Catholic (DC)	17 –	7	10	6	+	-0.69	3.55
03/07	H	Cortland	12 –	11	1	3	–	-0.69	-2.42
03/10	H	Washington & Lee	19 –	3	16	11		-0.69	0.00
03/15	A	Mary Washington	17 –	9	8	7		0.69	0.41
03/17	H	Elizabethtown	15 –	0	15	9		-0.69	0.65
03/20	A	Bowdoin	13 –	6	7	5		0.69	1.52
03/25	H	Franklin & Marshall	10 –	8	2	5	–	-0.69	-3.39
03/27	H	Hood	20 –	0	20	33		-0.69	0.00
03/31	H	Frostburg State	19 –	3	16	19		-0.69	0.00
04/04	A	St. Mary's (MD)	13 –	1	12	13		0.69	0.00
04/07	A	York	16 –	8	8	6		0.69	1.10
04/11	A	Marymount	17 –	3	14	17		0.69	0.00
04/13	A	College of New Jersey	12 –	10	2	3		0.69	-1.01
04/15	A	Stevenson	20 –	2	18	9		0.69	0.91
04/18	H	Wesley	21 –	3	18	25		-0.69	0.00
04/24	H	Stevenson	9 –	4	5	10	––	-0.69	-5.00
04/28	H	York	17 –	5	12	8		-0.69	1.72
05/05	A	Christopher Newport	19 –	5	14	10		0.69	0.00
05/12	N	St. John Fisher	15 –	4	11	9		0.00	0.81
05/13	H	Catholic (DC)	13 –	6	7	6		-0.69	0.55
05/19	N	Middlebury	15 –	7	8	3	++	0.00	4.87
05/20	N	Trinity (CT)	7 –	8	-1	2	–	0.00	-3.75
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: -8.54
TSI Rank: 2
Poll Vote: 378
Poll Rank: 2
Power Rating: 89.90
Power Rank: 1
SOS Rating: 79.33
SOS Rank: 13
RPI Rating: 0.73
RPI Rank: 1
Trend Rating: 1.00
Trend Rank: 30
Quality Win Rating: 5.74
Quality Win Rank: 2
W-L Pct Rating: 95.65
W-L Pct Rank: 1

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 22- 1
Ave Goal diff (all ): 10.4
Wins/Losses(top 5): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 5): 2.7
Wins/Losses(top 10): 4- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 10): 3.6
Wins/Losses(top 20): 12- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 20): 8.0
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 4.7