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Virginia Cavaliers

(11-8)

Conference:: Atlantic Coast
Region:: South
State:: VA
Coach:: Julie Myers

Third-Ranked UNC Defeats No. 12 UVa to Move to Semifinals

CHAPEL HILL – Third-seeded North Carolina scored three times in the first minute of the game, pouncing on unseeded Virginia and winning, 13-9, in the NCAA Tournament quarterfinals on Saturday afternoon at Fetzer Field. With the victory, Carolina (16-3) advances to the NCAA semifinals for the fourth time in the last five seasons. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/18	H	Loyola	14 –	9	5	1	+	-1.11	3.63
02/22	H	Richmond	12 –	9	3	4		-1.11	-1.36
02/26	H	Syracuse	9 –	7	2	-2	++	-1.11	4.62
03/02	A	Maryland	9 –	12	-3	-6	+	1.11	3.08
03/04	A	Penn State	7 –	14	-7	0	–––	1.11	-6.83
03/10	H	North Carolina	9 –	14	-5	-2	–	-1.11	-2.01
03/14	A	William & Mary	10 –	3	7	4	+	1.11	2.14
03/17	A	Princeton	7 –	9	-2	0	–	1.11	-2.30
03/21	H	James Madison	13 –	9	4	3		-1.11	0.61
03/24	A	Duke	14 –	12	2	-2	++	1.11	4.25
03/28	H	Old Dominion	14 –	13	1	8	–––	-1.11	-7.38
03/31	H	Boston College	12 –	10	2	1		-1.11	0.52
04/02	H	Harvard	12 –	6	6	3	+	-1.11	2.50
04/07	A	Virginia Tech	9 –	10	-1	4	––	1.11	-5.37
04/11	A	Johns Hopkins	11 –	7	4	0	+	1.11	3.89
04/20	N	Boston College	13 –	8	5	0	++	0.00	4.63
04/21	N	North Carolina	6 –	14	-8	-4	–	0.00	-3.91
04/28	A	Northwestern	6 –	13	-7	-6		1.11	-0.96
05/13	A	Duke	9 –	11	-2	-2		1.11	0.25
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 9.46
TSI Rank: 7
Poll Vote: 231
Poll Rank: 8
Power Rating: 94.92
Power Rank: 7
SOS Rating: 94.55
SOS Rank: 2
RPI Rating: 0.61
RPI Rank: 11
Trend Rating: 3.00
Trend Rank: 65
Quality Win Rating: 2.74
Quality Win Rank: 7
W-L Pct Rating: 57.89
W-L Pct Rank: 31

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 11- 8
Ave Goal diff (all ): 0.3
Wins/Losses(top 5): 1- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -4.2
Wins/Losses(top 10): 3- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -2.0
Wins/Losses(top 20): 6- 7
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -1.1
Wins/Losses(last 3): 0- 3
Ave Goal diff (last 3): -5.7