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Limestone Saints

(16-2)

Conference:: Carolinas
Region:: South
State:: SC
Coach:: J.B. Clarke

No. 1 Mercyhurst Rallies Late, Nips No. 2 Limestone in Overtime

ERIE, Pa.- For the second time in three years, Mercyhurst will play for the NCAA Championship. The tale of how the Lakers advanced to the title game will echo throughout Tullio Field for years to come. Deven Alves scored with 2:56 left in overtime, giving #1 Mercyhurst an 18-17 win over #2 Limestone in a classic semifinal game on Saturday afternoon. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/15	A	Tampa	17 –	5	12	5	++	0.61	4.99
02/17	A	Saint Leo	7 –	5	2	6	––	0.61	-4.10
02/23	H	Dowling	10 –	7	3	3		-0.61	-0.95
02/27	A	Lees-McRae	18 –	3	15	21		0.61	0.00
03/02	H	Wheeling Jesuit	17 –	12	5	4		-0.61	0.27
03/06	H	Coker	16 –	5	11	12		-0.61	0.00
03/09	N	Merrimack	13 –	10	3	0	+	0.00	2.81
03/16	N	Le Moyne	6 –	7	-1	-1		0.00	0.57
03/19	A	Wingate	22 –	8	14	12		0.61	0.00
03/27	A	Mount Olive	14 –	9	5	7	–	0.61	-2.00
03/30	H	Queens U. of Charlotte	12 –	6	6	5		-0.61	0.26
04/06	H	Belmont Abbey	12 –	10	2	7	––	-0.61	-5.12
04/13	A	Pfeiffer	12 –	10	2	2		0.61	-0.59
04/19	N	Belmont Abbey	15 –	11	4	6	–	0.00	-2.51
04/21	N	Pfeiffer	16 –	8	8	3	++	0.00	4.81
04/27	H	Catawba	13 –	6	7	9	–	-0.61	-2.16
05/11	H	Seton Hill	16 –	13	3	0	+	-0.61	3.09
05/18	A	Mercyhurst	17 –	18	-1	-1		0.61	0.58
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 13.98
TSI Rank: 5
Poll Vote: 11
Poll Rank: 2
Power Rating: 90.33
Power Rank: 5
SOS Rating: 84.56
SOS Rank: 18
RPI Rating: 0.67
RPI Rank: 2
Trend Rating: 1.00
Trend Rank: 7
Quality Win Rating: 1.42
Quality Win Rank: 4
W-L Pct Rating: 88.89
W-L Pct Rank: 3

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 16- 2
Ave Goal diff (all ): 5.6
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -1.0
Wins/Losses(top 10): 4- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 10): 2.3
Wins/Losses(top 20): 7- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 20): 3.0
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 3.0