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Lake Erie Storm

(12-5)

Conference:: ECAC-II
Region:: North
State:: OH
Coach:: Greg Stocks

#1 Mercyhurst Escapes Lake Erie in OT to Move to Semifinals

ERIE, Pa.- Brady Heseltine scored with 1:47 left in overtime, lifting #1 Mercyhurst to a 10-9 win over #9 Lake Erie in an NCAA tournament quarterfinal Saturday afternoon. The Lakers rallied from a 9-7 fourth-quarter deficit to survive and advance. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
03/02	A	Mount Olive	16 –	8	8	5	+	0.61	2.76
03/08	A	Mars Hill	18 –	3	15	4	++	0.61	5.94
03/10	N	Lees-McRae	23 –	0	23	19		0.00	0.00
03/16	H	Merrimack	10 –	11	-1	0		-0.61	-0.02
03/20	N	Wheeling Jesuit	9 –	3	6	2	+	0.00	3.63
03/30	H	Seton Hill	8 –	16	-8	-1	–––	-0.61	-6.15
04/02	A	Alderson-Broaddus	25 –	3	22	16		0.61	0.00
04/06	H	Lindenwood	14 –	13	1	4	–	-0.61	-3.60
04/10	H	Roberts Wesleyan	10 –	5	5	7	–	-0.61	-2.58
04/13	A	Walsh	16 –	7	9	14		0.61	-1.00
04/16	H	Mercyhurst	12 –	13	-1	-2		-0.61	1.10
04/21	H	Rollins	18 –	8	10	8		-0.61	1.04
04/25	A	Ohio Valley	21 –	3	18	13		0.61	0.00
04/28	A	Wingate	17 –	7	10	10		0.61	0.00
05/03	N	Seton Hill	12 –	10	2	-2	++	0.00	4.46
05/05	A	Mercyhurst	7 –	13	-6	-3	–	0.61	-2.68
05/11	A	Mercyhurst	9 –	10	-1	-3	+	0.61	2.32
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 44.58
TSI Rank: 12
Poll Vote: 4
Poll Rank: 9
Power Rating: 88.54
Power Rank: 9
SOS Rating: 82.93
SOS Rank: 26
RPI Rating: 0.57
RPI Rank: 11
Trend Rating: 2.00
Trend Rank: 16
Quality Win Rating: 0.42
Quality Win Rank: 10
W-L Pct Rating: 70.59
W-L Pct Rank: 13

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 12- 5
Ave Goal diff (all ): 6.6
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 3
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -2.7
Wins/Losses(top 10): 1- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -2.5
Wins/Losses(top 20): 2- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 20): 1.0
Wins/Losses(last 3): 1- 2
Ave Goal diff (last 3): -1.7