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Lynchburg Hornets

(14-6)

Conference:: Old Dominion
Region:: South
State:: VA
Coach:: Steve Koudelka

Fourth-Ranked Stevenson Tops Lynchburg to Reach Semifinals

OWINGS MILLS, Md. - For the fourth time in the last five years, Stevenson has advanced to the semifinals of the NCAA Division III Men's Lacrosse Championship. The fourth-ranked Mustangs got four points from Peter Green en route to a 13-7 victory over No. 13 Lynchburg Wednesday night. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/16	H	Salisbury	13 –	12	1	0		-1.31	1.79
02/23	A	Franklin & Marshall	6 –	4	2	0		1.31	1.35
03/02	H	Cabrini	11 –	9	2	0		-1.31	1.26
03/07	H	Marywood	15 –	4	11	11		-1.31	0.00
03/09	A	Gettysburg	11 –	12	-1	0		1.31	-0.24
03/13	A	McDaniel	5 –	4	1	2		1.31	-1.95
03/16	A	Guilford	25 –	6	19	6	+	1.31	3.57
03/24	A	Bridgewater	23 –	1	22	13		1.31	0.00
03/27	A	Washington & Lee	9 –	8	1	0		1.31	1.19
03/30	A	Stevenson	11 –	12	-1	-3	+	1.31	2.71
04/03	H	Randolph	17 –	2	15	15		-1.31	0.00
04/06	H	Roanoke	8 –	9	-1	2	–	-1.31	-3.40
04/10	A	Randolph-Macon	16 –	6	10	6	+	1.31	3.70
04/13	H	Virginia Wesleyan	20 –	10	10	7	+	-1.31	2.65
04/20	H	Hampden-Sydney	8 –	12	-4	4	–––	-1.31	-8.79
04/27	A	Shenandoah	19 –	5	14	11		1.31	0.00
05/04	N	Washington & Lee	6 –	7	-1	1	–	0.00	-2.12
05/08	H	St. Mary's	6 –	5	1	3	–	-1.31	-2.61
05/11	A	Roanoke	12 –	9	3	0	+	1.31	3.22
05/15	A	Stevenson	7 –	13	-6	-3	–	1.31	-2.29
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 42.45
TSI Rank: 10
Poll Vote: 8
Poll Rank: 13
Power Rating: 91.84
Power Rank: 8
SOS Rating: 87.71
SOS Rank: 28
RPI Rating: 0.63
RPI Rank: 14
Trend Rating: 2.00
Trend Rank: 62
Quality Win Rating: 2.75
Quality Win Rank: 3
W-L Pct Rating: 70.00
W-L Pct Rank: 37

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 14- 6
Ave Goal diff (all ): 4.9
Wins/Losses(top 5): 1- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -1.7
Wins/Losses(top 10): 3- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -0.4
Wins/Losses(top 20): 6- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 20): 0.1
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): -0.7