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St. Mary's Seahawks

(12-7)

Conference:: Capital
Region:: South
State:: MD
Coach:: Chris Hasbrouck

No. 13 Lynchburg Edges No. 19 Seahawks in First Round

Lynchburg, Va. – No. 19 St. Mary's put up a valiant fight in their first-ever appearance in the NCAA Division III tournament but could not hold on for the win Wednesday night. No. 13 Lynchburg powered through for the 6-5 first round victory with four unanswered goals in the final period. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/17	H	Roanoke	13 –	12	1	0		-1.31	0.90
02/23	N	Dickinson	5 –	19	-14	-4	––	0.00	-5.31
03/02	A	Drew	13 –	5	8	7		1.31	0.99
03/05	H	Washington College	12 –	13	-1	0		-1.31	-0.84
03/09	A	Muhlenberg	6 –	10	-4	0	–	1.31	-3.98
03/13	N	Denison	6 –	11	-5	0	––	0.00	-4.04
03/17	A	Ohio Wesleyan	8 –	7	1	0		1.31	1.99
03/20	A	Marymount	11 –	5	6	4		1.31	1.35
03/23	H	Christopher Newport	12 –	6	6	4		-1.31	1.23
03/30	H	Frostburg State	10 –	9	1	3	–	-1.31	-2.95
04/03	H	Goucher	17 –	5	12	5	++	-1.31	4.19
04/06	A	Wesley	12 –	5	7	7		1.31	-0.67
04/10	A	Mary Washington	9 –	8	1	0		1.31	1.83
04/13	H	Salisbury	4 –	15	-11	-3	–––	-1.31	-6.92
04/20	H	York	8 –	9	-1	0		-1.31	-1.33
04/24	H	Wesley	22 –	5	17	10		-1.31	0.00
04/27	A	York	10 –	9	1	-2	+	1.31	3.29
05/05	A	Salisbury	13 –	11	2	-5	+++	1.31	7.70
05/08	A	Lynchburg	5 –	6	-1	-3	+	1.31	2.61
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 61.25
TSI Rank: 18
Poll Vote: 2
Poll Rank: 19
Power Rating: 89.55
Power Rank: 25
SOS Rating: 88.31
SOS Rank: 18
RPI Rating: 0.63
RPI Rank: 18
Trend Rating: 2.00
Trend Rank: 79
Quality Win Rating: 1.15
Quality Win Rank: 12
W-L Pct Rating: 63.16
W-L Pct Rank: 57

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 12- 7
Ave Goal diff (all ): 1.4
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -14.0
Wins/Losses(top 10): 1- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -6.5
Wins/Losses(top 20): 2- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -4.1
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 0.7