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Elizabethtown Blue Jays

(12-7)

Conference:: Commonwealth
Region:: Metro
State:: PA
Coach:: Rob Brooks

Diplomats Ground the Blue Jays in NCAA First Round

LANCASTER, Pa. – Kimberly Abruzzo scored three goals and handed out an assist to lead No. 6 Franklin & Marshall to a 17-7 victory over Elizabethtown in the first round of the NCAA Championship. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/20	H	Dickinson	13 –	11	2	0		-1.39	1.76
02/23	A	McDaniel	14 –	15	-1	0		1.39	-0.05
03/09	N	Sewanee	19 –	11	8	7		0.00	0.37
03/16	H	Catholic (DC)	14 –	13	1	1		-1.39	-0.47
03/19	A	Washington College	10 –	15	-5	-4		1.39	-0.52
03/21	H	Amherst	8 –	18	-10	-3	–––	-1.39	-6.39
04/02	H	Eastern	20 –	5	15	16		-1.39	0.00
04/03	H	Hood	26 –	2	24	19		-1.39	0.00
04/06	A	Widener	18 –	11	7	4	+	1.39	2.28
04/08	H	Susquehanna	10 –	17	-7	-2	––	-1.39	-4.27
04/10	A	Stevenson	12 –	21	-9	-4	––	1.39	-4.88
04/13	H	Messiah	8 –	9	-1	-1		-1.39	0.13
04/17	A	Lycoming	23 –	12	11	8		1.39	1.29
04/20	H	Albright	19 –	15	4	8	––	-1.39	-4.45
04/23	A	Alvernia	21 –	11	10	6	+	1.39	3.10
04/27	H	Lebanon Valley	12 –	10	2	0		-1.39	1.11
05/02	A	Messiah	17 –	15	2	-3	++	1.39	5.91
05/04	A	Stevenson	14 –	12	2	-4	+++	1.39	6.12
05/08	A	Franklin & Marshall	7 –	17	-10	-9		1.39	-0.86
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 120.20
TSI Rank: 34
Poll Vote: 0
Poll Rank: 75
Power Rating: 78.66
Power Rank: 43
SOS Rating: 76.50
SOS Rank: 43
RPI Rating: 0.59
RPI Rank: 32
Trend Rating: 1.00
Trend Rank: 13
Quality Win Rating: 0.20
Quality Win Rank: 23
W-L Pct Rating: 63.16
W-L Pct Rank: 69

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 12- 7
Ave Goal diff (all ): 2.4
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 0
Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses(top 10): 0- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -10.0
Wins/Losses(top 20): 1- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -6.8
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): -2.0