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Fredonia Blue Devils

(14-3)

Conference:: SUNYAC
Region:: New York
State:: NY
Coach:: Chris Case

Geneseo Knocks off #16 Fredonia in SUNYAC Semifinals

Cortland, N.Y. – Geneseo (12-4) knocked off #16 Fredonia in the semifinal round of the SUNYAC tournament Friday. The third-seeded Knights will face the tournament's top seed, fourth-ranked Cortland, Saturday at 3:30 p.m. in the final with the league's automatic bid to the NCAA playoffs at stake. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
03/09	H	Wooster	7 –	5	2	8	–––	-1.39	-6.07
03/15	A	St. John Fisher	14 –	13	1	-2	+	1.39	3.48
03/16	A	Nazareth	14 –	11	3	1		1.39	1.30
03/22	A	Redlands	14 –	6	8	1	+++	1.39	6.63
03/23	A	Chapman	13 –	10	3	3		1.39	-0.49
03/25	A	Occidental	11 –	5	6	4		1.39	1.67
03/30	A	Oswego	13 –	5	8	4	+	1.39	3.04
04/02	A	Elmira	10 –	5	5	9	––	1.39	-4.26
04/06	H	New Paltz	21 –	12	9	10		-1.39	-1.00
04/07	H	Wittenberg	12 –	5	7	6		-1.39	0.12
04/09	H	Geneseo	9 –	8	1	-1	+	-1.39	2.93
04/13	A	Oneonta	11 –	10	1	1		1.39	-0.34
04/16	H	Buffalo State	13 –	5	8	6		-1.39	1.51
04/20	H	Potsdam	18 –	4	14	10		-1.39	0.00
04/23	A	Brockport	8 –	13	-5	-1	–	1.39	-3.43
04/27	A	Cortland	9 –	16	-7	-7		1.39	0.55
05/03	H	Geneseo	3 –	10	-7	-1	––	-1.39	-5.07
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 50.95
TSI Rank: 12
Poll Vote: 58
Poll Rank: 19
Power Rating: 81.91
Power Rank: 21
SOS Rating: 78.51
SOS Rank: 22
RPI Rating: 0.66
RPI Rank: 7
Trend Rating: 3.00
Trend Rank: 130
Quality Win Rating: 0.65
Quality Win Rank: 13
W-L Pct Rating: 82.35
W-L Pct Rank: 15

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 14- 3
Ave Goal diff (all ): 3.4
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -7.0
Wins/Losses(top 10): 0- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -7.0
Wins/Losses(top 20): 2- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -3.0
Wins/Losses(last 3): 0- 3
Ave Goal diff (last 3): -6.3