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North Carolina Tar Heels

(16-3)

Conference:: Atlantic Coast
Region:: South
State:: NC
Coach:: Jenny Levy

Third-Ranked UNC Defeats No. 12 UVa to Move to Semifinals

CHAPEL HILL – Third-seeded North Carolina scored three times in the first minute of the game, pouncing on unseeded Virginia and winning, 13-9, in the NCAA Tournament quarterfinals on Saturday afternoon at Fetzer Field. With the victory, Carolina (16-3) advances to the NCAA semifinals for the fourth time in the last five seasons. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/09	H	Florida	3 –	5	-2	0		-1.19	-1.51
02/15	H	Towson	9 –	6	3	6	–	-1.19	-3.22
02/17	H	Richmond	14 –	7	7	8		-1.19	-1.53
02/22	H	Northwestern	11 –	8	3	0	+	-1.19	2.21
03/02	A	Penn	11 –	5	6	4		1.19	1.11
03/09	H	Virginia	8 –	7	1	4	–	-1.19	-3.35
03/12	A	High Point	15 –	6	9	8		1.19	0.07
03/16	H	Georgetown	17 –	11	6	4		-1.19	1.23
03/20	H	Cornell	11 –	10	1	7	–––	-1.19	-6.15
03/23	H	Boston College	19 –	11	8	7		-1.19	0.65
03/28	A	Duke	12 –	11	1	1		1.19	-0.35
03/30	A	Virginia Tech	18 –	11	7	6		1.19	0.20
04/06	A	Maryland	13 –	14	-1	-3	+	1.19	2.46
04/12	H	Jacksonville	16 –	4	12	7	+	-1.19	2.32
04/20	A	Vanderbilt	20 –	5	15	7	+	1.19	2.38
04/26	H	Boston College	16 –	6	10	7	+	-1.19	2.65
04/28	H	Maryland	8 –	12	-4	-1	–	-1.19	-2.91
05/12	H	Loyola	19 –	9	10	5	++	-1.19	4.09
05/18	H	Virginia	13 –	9	4	4		-1.19	-0.35
05/25	N	Northwestern	–
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: -10.59
TSI Rank: 3
Poll Vote: 361
Poll Rank: 3
Power Rating: 97.62
Power Rank: 5
SOS Rating: 93.38
SOS Rank: 1
RPI Rating: 0.69
RPI Rank: 4
Trend Rating: 1.00
Trend Rank: 10
Quality Win Rating: 4.18
Quality Win Rank: 3
W-L Pct Rating: 84.21
W-L Pct Rank: 9

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 16- 3
Ave Goal diff (all ): 5.1
Wins/Losses(top 5): 1- 3
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -1.0
Wins/Losses(top 10): 3- 3
Ave Goal diff (top 10): 0.5
Wins/Losses(top 20): 9- 3
Ave Goal diff (top 20): 3.5
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 3.3