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Virginia Cavaliers

(11-10)

Conference:: Atlantic Coast
Region:: South
State:: VA
Coach:: Julie Myers

Third-Ranked UNC Defeats No. 12 UVa to Move to Semifinals

CHAPEL HILL – Third-seeded North Carolina scored three times in the first minute of the game, pouncing on unseeded Virginia and winning, 13-9, in the NCAA Tournament quarterfinals on Saturday afternoon at Fetzer Field. With the victory, Carolina (16-3) advances to the NCAA semifinals for the fourth time in the last five seasons. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/16	A	Loyola	10 –	9	1	0		1.19	0.63
02/20	A	Richmond	13 –	7	6	2	+	1.19	3.01
02/24	A	Syracuse	9 –	10	-1	-5	++	1.19	4.54
03/01	H	Maryland	10 –	17	-7	-4	–	-1.19	-2.75
03/03	H	Penn State	14 –	15	-1	2	–	-1.19	-3.38
03/09	A	North Carolina	7 –	8	-1	-4	+	1.19	3.35
03/13	H	William & Mary	18 –	5	13	10		-1.19	0.00
03/16	H	Princeton	9 –	7	2	3		-1.19	-1.00
03/20	A	James Madison	10 –	3	7	1	++	1.19	5.43
03/23	H	Duke	7 –	13	-6	0	–––	-1.19	-6.56
03/27	A	Old Dominion	16 –	12	4	8	––	1.19	-4.38
03/30	A	Boston College	7 –	10	-3	1	––	1.19	-4.81
04/02	A	American	16 –	4	12	7	+	1.19	2.91
04/07	H	Northwestern	6 –	11	-5	-2	–	-1.19	-2.62
04/11	H	Johns Hopkins	8 –	9	-1	3	––	-1.19	-4.60
04/17	H	Virginia Tech	10 –	5	5	6		-1.19	-1.02
04/25	N	Duke	10 –	7	3	0	+	0.00	3.63
04/26	N	Maryland	9 –	13	-4	-5		0.00	1.44
05/10	N	Penn	12 –	6	6	2	+	0.00	3.09
05/12	A	Georgetown	10 –	8	2	0	+	1.19	2.77
05/18	A	North Carolina	9 –	13	-4	-4		1.19	0.35
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 12.78
TSI Rank: 7
Poll Vote: 159
Poll Rank: 12
Power Rating: 94.46
Power Rank: 8
SOS Rating: 93.24
SOS Rank: 2
RPI Rating: 0.61
RPI Rank: 10
Trend Rating: 2.00
Trend Rank: 42
Quality Win Rating: 2.41
Quality Win Rank: 6
W-L Pct Rating: 52.38
W-L Pct Rank: 47

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 11-10
Ave Goal diff (all ): 1.3
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 6
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -3.7
Wins/Losses(top 10): 2- 8
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -2.4
Wins/Losses(top 20): 5- 9
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -1.3
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 1.3