Sun Apr 22 17:30:42 UTC 2018

The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power ratings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown under the columns [0,1] [1,2]. etc. The bracket [0,1], means the error was greater than or equal to 0.0 goals and less than or equal to 1.0 goals. The average goal error is equal to the sum of the error for all games divided by the total number of games. Note that an upset here is defined as a team with a lower PR defeating a team with a higher PR. This does not conform to the definition of an upset on the UPSET page where the power ratings must differ by a minimum of 2 goals. Region Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference [0,1] [1,2] [2,3] [3,4] [4,5] >5 Alabama 2.99 63 17 8 13 4 9 12 AL Misc 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 AZ AHSLL 3.24 141 26 30 24 20 16 25 Indep 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CA No Coast 3.24 394 74 76 67 52 46 79 CA Club 4.34 97 16 18 12 10 9 32 CA Cntrl Coast 3.30 227 37 52 38 29 25 46 CA Southern 3.09 688 156 135 103 90 73 131 CA San Diego 3.65 413 69 67 69 63 31 114 CO CHSAA 3.18 408 93 76 50 58 47 84 CT CIAC 2.76 328 78 73 45 55 23 54 Montana 3.07 19 8 2 0 1 2 6 DE DIAA 3.99 152 30 29 18 17 19 39 FL Cntrl/No 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 FL FHSAA 3.35 1519 317 270 247 185 153 347 FL Club 5.24 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 GA GHSA 3.19 745 145 141 123 109 76 151 GA Club NGLL 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NY Sec 6 Indep 2.90 6 4 0 0 0 0 2 ID IHSLL 3.82 134 24 25 20 11 16 38 IL IHSA 2.84 322 87 57 54 43 24 57 IL Misc 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Indiana 3.19 200 39 49 33 21 13 45 Kansas 2.52 86 20 18 21 13 5 9 Kentucky 3.37 206 35 43 36 21 23 48 LA LHSLL 3.73 159 32 17 24 18 24 44 ME MPA 2.26 36 16 3 4 4 3 6 MD MIAA A/DC-IAC 4.71 184 35 19 20 21 16 73 MD MIAA B 3.90 52 10 3 13 9 3 14 MD MIAA C 6.18 52 9 3 13 6 2 19 MD MILL/MAC/WCAC/I 4.88 203 35 33 31 13 16 75 MD MPSSAA 4321 3.17 627 151 111 93 95 60 117 MA MIAA East/Cntrl 2.50 570 167 123 110 66 37 67 MA MIAA Cntrl 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MA MIAA West 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MI MHSAA 2.85 416 98 78 73 67 37 63 MI Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 IL Indep Club 2.49 19 5 5 4 2 0 3 MN MSHSL 2.49 40 25 2 2 1 2 8 MN MBSLA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MO MSLA 3.51 172 33 31 30 23 13 42 Nebraska 2.28 29 10 6 5 5 1 2 NE East/No/ISL 2.97 192 52 43 26 21 17 33 NE West I 4.38 67 12 8 10 9 4 24 NE West II-III 3.70 84 22 14 13 11 7 17 NH NHIAA I-II-III 1.89 84 42 13 9 9 3 8 NJ NJISAA/Pri 2.84 915 234 180 158 127 82 134 Nevada 5.08 100 12 12 11 20 6 39 New Mexico 3.46 31 8 8 2 1 2 10 NY Ivy/PSAL/PSAA/N 3.83 129 25 19 23 18 9 35 NY CHSAA 4.00 107 25 15 14 7 14 32 NY Sec I 3.18 201 54 41 26 22 12 46 NY Sec II 3.70 106 18 14 21 15 12 26 NY Sec III 3.06 160 32 37 28 16 10 37 NY Sec IV 3.56 90 14 15 13 13 13 22 NY Sec V 3.10 132 31 34 17 19 8 23 NY Sec VI 4.10 89 12 16 13 13 9 26 NY Sec VIII 2.91 214 45 48 34 32 19 36 NY Sec IX 3.40 57 21 9 6 3 4 14 NY Sec X 2.62 26 10 6 3 2 1 4 NY Sec XI 3.19 231 48 41 39 36 22 45 NC NCHSAA 3.54 647 129 114 108 74 65 157 NC NCISAA 4.08 156 36 28 15 18 7 52 NC Club 5.04 71 18 5 6 9 9 24 SD PL 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OH OHSAA D1-2 3.03 678 150 128 112 94 77 117 OHSLA Local Playof 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OHSLA Local Playof 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OH Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Oklahoma 3.31 40 7 10 8 4 2 9 OR OHSLA 3.50 253 50 48 43 30 24 58 PA East PIAA 3.97 447 92 83 58 57 45 112 PA IAC/Pri 6.74 98 19 19 6 6 3 45 PA WPIAL 3.61 171 41 28 24 26 6 46 PA Cntrl PIAA 3.22 305 61 62 57 34 37 54 RI RILL 2.87 88 16 28 12 14 7 11 SC SCHSL/SCILL/SCI 3.30 351 58 65 61 51 42 74 TN TSLA D1 3.93 206 33 39 28 25 28 53 TN TSLA D2 5.20 89 10 8 13 10 10 38 TX THSLL 1 3.22 301 66 55 43 43 29 65 TX THSLL 2 3.05 433 116 78 62 50 36 91 Utah UHSLL 3.20 260 48 59 36 33 33 51 VT DI 4.40 30 6 4 4 5 2 9 VT DII-III 4.37 8 5 0 0 0 0 3 VA VHSL 4A/5A/6A 3.00 451 102 112 71 51 25 90 Wyoming 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VA VISAA 1 4.59 124 16 17 17 11 12 51 VA VISAA 2 3.76 116 19 25 19 12 9 32 DC WILL 4.08 13 4 1 0 3 0 5 VA Club 3.75 103 19 15 13 16 13 27 WA WHSBLA 3.52 433 96 77 68 54 34 104 WA Misc 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Wisconsin 2.41 53 16 12 11 7 1 6 ID Misc 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Canada East 3.42 20 7 5 0 2 0 6 WV WVSLA 3.41 84 19 17 11 12 4 21 Mississippi 6.64 18 3 1 1 0 3 10 Canada West 11.51 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 HI Aloha 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 3.09 15394 3559 3013 2491 2021 1415 2913 total games............... = 15394 ave error (goals)......... = 3.09 total upsets.............. = 1755 % of games within 1 goal.. = 23.12 % of games within 2 goals. = 42.69 % of games within 3 goals. = 58.87 % of games within 4 goals. = 72.00 % of games within 5 goals. = 81.19 % of games > 5 goals. = 18.92
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